Two pointers on the Palestinian economy – May 2013
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Palestine witnessed remarkable growth of 5.9% during 2012, Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics (PCBS) said in its report.
That is certainly progress for an economy that was set back for a decade by the Intifada. Accordingly, there are encouraging signs in multiple sectors. Government revenues have risen marginally.
In parallel, some international aid is having a positive impact. For example, last month the UK’s International Development Minister Alan Duncan announced to an audience of the Hebron Chamber of Commerce the details of a new £15 million Palestinian Market Development Programme. The previous grant had “helped hundreds of businesses turn over £80 million in sales and exports, enter 87 new export markets, develop 129 new products, create 3,400 jobs and increase their exports by 52%.”
That said, all is not rosy. Just look at the unemployment rate that seems pegged around 25%. With a young population, that raises ominous social questions for the immediate future and stability of any governing party in Gaza and in the West Bank. So here are two suggestions that should help to make a positive change and relatively quickly.
First, to paraphrase a detailed report from the International Monetary Fund, ‘better governance’ would make fundamental difference. In fact, the report makes for more depressing than the official Palestinian stats I have cited above. The key recommendations are hidden on pages 17 and 18. While it no longer blames Israel for all the economic woes in the Palestinian territories, there is a demand for halting pay rises to a bloated public sector, implementing better tax revenue collection systems, and reducing capital outlays on dubious public sector projects.
However, second, in order for this to happen, the Palestinian people will need a leadership that is…….well, capable. Unfortunately, after weeks of internal haggling, the Palestinian Prime Minister, Salam Fayyad, resigned on April 24th. Texas-educated, IMF-trained and one of the few that was determined to introoduce transparency in the system, Fayyad had had enough.
According to some observers, Fayyad could see that the Palestinian economy under President Abbas may be heading for a dive. Not only has substantial donor aid from Arab countries effectively dried up. Just as pertinent is the fact that corruption and graft amongst the leaders in Ramallah and in Gaza have rarely seen better times.
An analysis prepared by a Gaza journalist, details how money is leaking out of the official Palestinian financial system, which lacks accountability . It is near unbelievable to read how “the report criticised the murkiness surrounding the PA’s security budget, which accounts for nearly one third of the Palestinian public budget, because it was comprised of only one figure, without details….”
The truly worrying aspect is when one links that statement with the policies of Western governments. Less than two weeks ago, on May 6th, the European Union released a further €20 million to help fund the payment of the April salaries and pensions of nearly 76,000 Palestinian civil servants and pensioners in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip. Totally funding in this field has reached around €1.5 billion since 2008. If the corruption is so widespread, you have to ask what has European taxpayers money actually been spent on?
There are countless micro examples, which illustrate the lack of open government, at least from the point of view of Western standards. Even when the UN is supposed to hand resources and aid out to Palestinian refugees, the money slips away unguardedly from the hands of those who need it.
The Palestinians deserve a better economy. For that to happen, they require a true leadership, neither laden by the demands of corruption nor beholden to violent ideologies.
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